How economists (and TikTok) know if a recession is coming

Enlarge this image Romain Costaseca/Hans Lucas/AFP via Getty Images Romain Costaseca/Hans Lucas/AFP via Getty Images Lately we’ve noticed that something we think about all the time here at Planet Money is having a viral moment: recession indicators! From the more practical (like sales for lipstick going up and men’s underwear going down) to the absurd and nonsensical (like babysitter buns coming back into style?) — people are posting to social media every little sign they see that a recession is coming. And we LOVE it. Because between the trade war and the tariffs and the stock market, there has been a lot of economic uncertainty over the last few months and we want to talk about it, too. Sponsor Message Today on the show — we dig into the slightly wonkier indicators that economists look at when they’re trying to answer the question behind the viral internet trend: Is a recession coming? This episode of Planet Money was produced by James Sneed. It was edited by Marianne McCune, fact-checked by Sarah McClure, and engineered by Cena Loffredo. Alex Goldmark is our executive producer. Find more Planet Money: Facebook / Instagram / TikTok / Our weekly Newsletter. Listen free at these links: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the NPR app or anywhere you get podcasts. Help support Planet Money and hear our bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney. Music: SourceAudio – “The Shirt Still Fits,” “Chameleon Panther Style,” and “Nighthawk.”